Archive for May, 2007
DELL Q1 2008 earnings analysis 31-May-07 AMC
consensus: EPS 0.26/0.26 / Yr Ago 0.33 / Rev 13969
.
Gapping Analysis
Q4
.
01 Mar 07 AMC
- nil
_____
no change
Q3
21 Nov 06 AMC
- beat $0.06
_____
+ 2.45 – 0.15
Q2
17 Aug 06 AMC
- in line
_____
- 2.00 + 1.30
Q1
18 May 06 AMC
– in line
_____
+ 0.90 – 0.30
Risk/ Reward Analysis
PUT
Aug 27.5 $1.95 [ITM]
Aug 25.0 $0.75 [nearest OTM]Diff ٪ 26.10 Stock Price & 25 [...]
RL Q4 earnings analysis 30-May-07 BMO
consensus: EPS 0.62/0.62 / Yr Ago 0.58 / Rev 1029.77
Gapping Analysis
Q3
.
07 Feb 07 BMO
- beat $0.11
_____
- 2.50 + 1.00
Q2
08 Nov 06 BMO
- beat $0.22
_____
+ 2.45 + 2.10
Q1
08 Aug 06 BMO
- beat $0.07
_____
+ 1.60 – 1.10
Q4
25 May 06 BMO
– beat $0.01
_____
+ 0.80 – 0.40
1 yr chart upwards, S curve upwards
options too expensive
CSCO Q3 earnings analysis 8-May-07 BMO
consensus: EPS 0.33/0.31 / Yr Ago 0.25 / Rev 8765.07
Gapping Analysis
Q2
06 Feb 07 AMC
- beat $0.02
_____
+ 1.35 – 0.55
Q1
08 Nov 06 AMC
- beat $0.02
_____
+ 2.35 – 0.75
Q4
08 Aug 06 AMC
- beat $0.02
_____
+ 2.10 + 0.35
Q3
09 May 06 AMC
– beat $0.03
_____
+ 0.30 – 0.60
.
Risk/ Reward Analysis
CALL
Jun 27.5 $1.40 [ITM]
Jun 30.0 $0.40 [nearest OTM]
Jun 32.5 $0.15 [next [...]
EP Q1 earnings analysis 8-May-07 BMO
consensus: EPS 0.26/0.26 / Yr Ago 0.37 / Rev 1191.82
Gapping Analysis
Q4
27 Feb 07 BMO
- miss $0.44
_____
no change
Q3
06 Nov 06 BMO
- in-line
_____
no change
Q2
07 Aug 06 BMO
- beat $0.01
_____
no change – 0.75
Q1
05 May 06 BMO
– beat $0.11
_____
+ 1.00 + 0.65
no gappping -> don’t play
Read Full Post | Make a Comment ( None so far )EXPE Q1 earnings analysis 8-May-07 BMO
consensus: EPS 0.19/0.16 / Yr Ago 0.11 / Rev 530.73
Gapping Analysis
Q4
15 Feb 07 BMO
- beat $0.03
_____
no change
Q3
09 Nov 06 AMC
- beat $0.04
_____
no change
Q2
10 Aug 06 BMO
- beat $0.08
_____
+ 1.30 – 0.50
Q1
11 May 06 AMC
– miss $0.07
_____
- 4.55 – 0.60
not much gap -> don’t play
Read Full Post | Make a Comment ( None so far )CVS Q1 earnings analysis 8-May-07 BMO
Gapping Analysis
Q4
01 Feb 07 BMO
- beat $0.01
_____
no change
Q3
01 Nov 06 BMO
- beat $0.01
_____
- 1.85 – 0.45
Q2
03 Aug 06 BMO
- beat $0.03
_____
no change
Q1
04 May 06 BMO
– beat $0.01
_____
no change
not much gapping -> don’t play
Read Full Post | Make a Comment ( None so far )EXPE Q1 earnings analysis 8-May-07 BMO
consensus: EPS 0.19/0.16 / Yr Ago 0.11 / Rev 530.73
Gapping Analysis
Q4
15 Feb 07 BMO
- beat $0.03
_____
no change
Q3
09 Nov 06 AMC
- beat $0.04
_____
no change
Q2
10 Aug 06 BMO
- beat $0.08
_____
+ 1.30 – 0.50
Q1
11 May 06 AMC
– miss $0.07
_____
- 4.55 – 0.60
not much gap -> don’t play
Read Full Post | Make a Comment ( None so far )MCK Q4 earnings analysis 7-May-07 AMC
consensus: EPS 0.78/0.78 / Yr Ago 0.68 / Rev 23922.41
Gapping Analysis
Q3
25 Jan 07 AMC
- beat $0.11
_____
+ 1.30 – 0.75
Q2
31 Oct 06 AMC
- beat $0.08
_____
+ 1.15 – 2.25
Q1
27 Jul 06 AMC
- beat $0.03
_____
+ 0.90 + 0.50
Q4
04 May 06 AMC
– in-line
_____
+ 1.25 + 0.35
current stock price $60
not much gapping action -> don’t play
WYNN Q1 earnings analysis 7-May-07 AMC
consensus: EPS 0.54/0.54 / Yr Ago 0.01 / Rev 553.26
Gapping Analysis
Q4
27 Feb 07 AMC
- beat $0.06
_____
+ 1.15 + 1.00
Q3
07 Nov 06 AMC
- miss $0.07
_____
+ 0.85 + 1.45
Q2
01 Aug 06 AMC
- miss $0.10
_____
+ 1.50 + 3.75
Q1
03 May 06 AMC
– miss $0.03
_____
- 1.45 – 0.40
Current stock price $102.50.
Not really significant gapping amt -> no trade
YUM Q1 earnings analysis 1-May-07 AMC
consensus: EPS 0.64/0.64 / Yr Ago 0.59 / Rev 2151.47
own guidance: no Q1 guidance given
Gapping Analysis
Q4
12 Feb 07 AMC
- beat $0.04
_____
no change
Q3
11 Oct 06 AMC
- beat $0.08
_____
+ 1.05 + 3.45 (also div)
Q2
19 Jul 06 AMC
- beat $0.06
_____
- 2.15 – 1.00
Q1
24 Apr 06 AMC
– beat $0.02
_____
+ 2.85 – 0.05
Risk/ Reward Analysis
CALL
Jun 60 $3.80 [ITM]
Jun 65 $1.00 [...]
